TapResearch and PredictWise Partner to Predict TX-27 Special Congressional Election

TapResearch is always looking for cutting-edge use cases and partners to leverage our large scale audience engagement network to deliver better insights.  We are excited about expanding our efforts in political and opinion polling.

TX-27 has not been at the forefront of the news. Only few know that this minority-majority district holds special elections on Saturday, June 30th. TapResearch has teamed up with PredictWise to shed light on the political compass in this district, leveraging TapResearch’s innovative ways to collect data (randomly targeting cell-phone-level ad IDs) to quickly conduct polling at scale, as well as PredictWise’s proven methodology. And, while we find that the district is out of reach for Democratic challenger Eric Holguin, there is some hunger for progressive policies here.

Demographically, the district would be an obvious target for Democrats – 50% of residents are Hispanic in this district, consisting of Corpus Christi and Victoria up to Bastrop County near Austin and Wharton County near Houston. And, the most recent Representative, Republican Blake Farenthold, resigned in disgrace over sexual harassment allegations, on April 6, 2018. But, public polling has been non-existent here, and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), the organization with the goal to elect Democrats to Congress, has not exactly made this district a priority.

But, as a our new PredictWise/TapResearch poll shows (full data here): The district has hunger for some progressive policies, especially around taxation and gun regulation. First things first: Cook, the standard bearer of Congressional forecasting, has this district as solidly Republican. Our poll agrees: We have Republican candidate Michael Cloud far ahead in the two-party vote-share (65% to 31%). Nothing to see here for Democrats.

Figure1

But as opposed to other polling, our poll goes deeper than the traditional horse-race, and dissects likely voters in TX-27 on relevant political issues of the day. Take gun regulation for example: Over 50%, a clear majority of Texans residing in this district, support restricting the amount of bullets. And, that number is still above 50% for Republicans, with 71% of Democrats in support (Independents are less inclined to support legislation to restrict the amount of bullets in firearms, coming in at 30% support).

Figure3

On another issue front, Texans residing in this district are more mixed: immigration. While Dreamers enjoy support among likely voters – 64% of overall voters and a majority (54%) of Republicans support a pathway to citizenship in this district – only a small minority (9%) support an increase in the flow of legal immigration.

Figure4

On economic issues, however, Texans in this coastal district inhibit a strong desire for more progressive policies: 63% (and 59% of Republicans) support increasing taxes for households making more than $250,000 a year, and over 90% (Democrats and Republicans alike) support tax increases for big corporations. And, a majority of Texans in this district believe that unions are good for them – and likely would have taken issue with the recent Supreme Court ruling on this matter.

Figure5

Methodology:

Full data here. The insights presented here are a mix of PredictWise baseline data and a fresh set of respondents (N-200 likely voters, collected from 06/12 through 06/28) collected via TapResearch. Then estimates are created of public opinion using the most bleeding edge analytics of modeling and post-stratification (affectionately known as MRP+).

Mobile Surveys 101: Let’s Get Visual-Mobile Design Elements

So far, we have focused on the text of your survey, but questions and answers are only half the story. It’s tempting to get caught up in the phrasing and methodology of research– but you can’t ignore the way your survey looks and works.

You can think of a survey like a conversation with your respondents. Sure, we communicate a lot with our words, but we tell just as much with our facial expressions, hand gestures, and posture.

Think of visual design as your surveys body language.

We can use visual elements to keep interest, call attention to important information, and influence our respondents mood. This is more important on mobile, as you have to factor in the small size, navigation differences, and use of fingers instead of a mouse and keyboard.

Your control over how your survey looks will depend on the programing software you use, but here are five things to keep an eye out for no matter what:

Instagram Polls: 5 Lessons for Market Researchers

Last week Instagram launched its new “Polls” feature for stories and my nerd-heart skipped a beat. Instagram is my social-media drug-of-choice, and I love market research, so I just had to try it out. IMG_0694

Of course I was disappointed at the lack of functionality– I had a hard time even finding my data after a poll. You can only ask one question with two answer choices, and polls are only visible to your story’s audience. It’s obvious that Instagram’s Polls are more geared towards social interaction than research.

At first I was annoyed– then I began taking polls myself. I found it to be a fun and seamless way to engage with friends, corporations, and even celebrities. I started looking at Instagram polls from the respondent’s perspective, and I realized that this feature’s true value to market researchers isn’t the what– it’s the why.

Why have all of the major social media platforms (like twitter, Facebook, and now Instagram) all added polling functionality– and what can their features teach us about the future of online research?

Here are 5 Lessons for Market Researchers from my experience with Instagram Polls:

Mobile Surveys 101: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly of Question Writing

Now that you have worked through the planning stage and have a good understanding of question types, it’s time to jump-in and start writing your survey! As you begin crafting your questionnaire you should keep a few things in mind.

This simple guide will help you write good survey questions while avoiding bad mistakes and ugly issues (it’s a theme, get it?). If you follow these hints you will be getting the best data possible–without getting a headache.

Mobile Surveys 101: Purpose, Targeting, and Platform

So, you have decided to jump into the exciting world of mobile research. What now? The first step to creating engaging and accurate mobile surveys is planning.

This Mobile Surveys 101 article will help you determine what your purpose is, who your survey should be targeted towards, and what tools you use to get the best possible data– all while staying within your budget!

Mobile Surveys 101: Keys to Success In Mobile Research

Whether you are a new researcher or a veteran trying to maximize your potential, understanding Mobile Survey design is an important part of keeping your research up to date. You have so many important questions that need answers, and mobile users are the best source of valuable information. But how do you unlock that data?

By asking the right questions, in the right way.

Tap Research is here to help. We are starting a Mobile Surveys 101 series of blog posts to guide you through the process of designing mobile research surveys from start to finish. We will highlight the differences between desktop and mobile survey design, and give you quick tips for success.

By following the lessons in this series you will become a mobile-research wiz in no time.

Improving Sentence Structure for Mobile Surveys

my-new-infograp_23518049_1dae12fff493e0fd03e17fd719a04acec46a0567There is a reason most of us scan webpages for bold words or bullet points instead of reading a big wall of words. We want to find the most relevant information, and we want to find it fast!

Being efficient and selective with your question wording will help your respondent’s comprehension and keep their interest– which leads to better and more accurate data. Especially on mobile!

Here are 3 helpful tips to tighten-up your questions:

PeopleFun users drive 50% increase in ARPDAU with Rewarded Surveys

PeopleFun is a mobile game publisher and makers of top grossing word game Word Chums iOS, Android. They are also the makers of Age of Empires, one of the best-selling and most award-winning games of all time.

Challenge
PeopleFun wanted to diversify their rewarded monetization strategy and give users an alternative opt-in format to earn the coveted “Chums” currency beyond Video and Offers.

Their Solution
PeopleFun integrated Rewarded Surveys into their gameplay powered by TapResearch. By engaging users during “shopping moments” across the game, PeopleFun enables choice in how users earn currency.